The ECB; Rates remain unchanged at least through the end of 2019
At yesterday’s meeting the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB) took the following monetary policy decisions:
(1) The interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will remain unchanged at 0.00%, 0.25% and -0.40% respectively. The Governing Council now expects the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels at least through the end of 2019, and in any case for as long as necessary to ensure the continued sustained convergence of inflation to levels that are below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.
(2) The Governing Council intends to continue reinvesting, in full, the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the asset purchase programme for an extended period of time past the date when it starts raising the key ECB interest rates, and in any case for as long as necessary to maintain favourable liquidity conditions and an ample degree of monetary accommodation.
(3) A new series of quarterly targeted longer-term refinancing operations (TLTRO-III) will be launched, starting in September 2019 and ending in March 2021, each with a maturity of two years. These new operations will help to preserve favourable bank lending conditions and the smooth transmission of monetary policy. Under TLTRO-III, counterparties will be entitled to borrow up to 30% of the stock of eligible loans as at 28 February 2019 at a rate indexed to the interest rate on the main refinancing operations over the life of each operation. Like the outstanding TLTRO programme, TLTRO-III will feature built-in incentives for credit conditions to remain favourable. Further details on the precise terms of TLTRO-III will be communicated in due course.
(4) The Eurosystem’s lending operations will continue to be conducted as fixed rate tender procedures with full allotment for as long as necessary, and at least until the end of the reserve maintenance period starting in March 2021.
Source: The ECB
Yap, politika ECB-e ide po mom predviđanju u onoj analizi EUR/USD 1.00, dobro si to primjetio. Euro dosta dugo drži kao ovaj neki uski range u prosjeku oko 1.1350, možda bi mogao jače potegnuti uskoro, a u kojem pravcu, vidjet ćemo. 🙂
Promjena politike ECB kao i odgadanje kamatne stope,nudi paru nize poziciranje!Pitanje dali odmah ili kasnije tjekom narednih sedmica, mjeseci ( ipak pricekajmo NFP danas) molim bez iznenadenja + dobri podaci i eto nas na 1,110 – 1,100.Budu li dobri izlazeci podaci na NFP to bi bila podrska FED-u za novi val kamat. stopa koja nudi 1.08 I dok ce Trump glumiti ljutitost nad FED-om mi smo sve blize tvojoj analizi o paritetu! Mozda mu je bolje odmah prekinuti rat sa kinom ipak to je jos miljama daleko biti strpljiv i cekamo . L.P.
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