Market reaction on US elections

market-reactions-on-us-elections

The picture speaks a thousand words, right!? Well, this is the best way from me to describe what happend in the market on November 08./09. and how the market reacted on US presidential election results. At first, everybody tought, yes I was right about development if Trump wins, buy gold and Yen, sell stocks, but only a few hours latter, the market disaponts everybody and turn everything back to the start, plus more im oposite directions from the previous predictions. Gold fell back to the beggining and some more, USD/JPY fligh up and cover complete loss and some more, German stock market started the day bullish emedialtelly since opening and covered all loss plus more, SP 500 covered complete loss and some more… The market players stayed in shock, I see that based on reaction and common questions from most of them. I can say, that all of you were fooled by constant false predicion from the analysts all over the web sites. Nobody predicted this development and move. And now, I see how they changed their view, like this is normal what happened, struggling to explain why, because they was wrong!

market-reactions-on-us-elections-2

This is exactly why I didn’t want to analyse and to make any prediction in this week. I was expected this move and with lot of my serious contacts I was chat about that, but there was no point to anylsing publicly something like that, because there was a question on which technical level the market will turn back. It was to risky. You can see today, a couple of days latter that the market turnover reaction wasn’t false and the momemntum is still the same. Gold continues to fall, stocks are still rising higher…everything is oposite as predictions were if Trump wins. Well, as I wrote in my article about US presidential elections, the big boys will take an advantage of this elections, but can you? I hope you didn’t lose much if you were wrong and most of you were.

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3 comments

  • Aktivno trejdam na FOREX-u skoro 3 god.a prije sam to radio s bankama 15g. u ovom vremenu na forexu sam svasta vidio,volim uskakati na vazne vijesti i ovakve slicne dogadaje i to cesto radim zbog velike volatilnosti.Ali to nije lako a jos manje sigurno ipak vise je naloga pozitivnih nego negativnih.Da pojasnim o izborima ,tocno ovako sam zamislio pokrete te tecaj EUR-USD ocekivao na oko 115,ali pod uvjetom pobjede Clinton,sto reci nije ovo ni blizu da se prvi put odigralo sve naopako ali sam naucio da ne razmisljam previse nego da hvatam pomake pa bili oni u bilo kojem pravcu,nakon toliko vremena sad to i mogu.Na noc izbora sam bio budan skoro cijelu nuc tako da sam kupio USD-JPY na 101.50 i EUR-USD sell na 112 te zatvorio naloge sa oko 450 pipova plusa,bilo je tu jos 10-15 naloga otvor.,zatvor.ali eto zahvaljujuci nelogicnosti trzista zbog smjera guranja cjene dogodio se brzi profit.Ovim putem savjetujem da ne pokusavate trgovati na vjestima jer sam na DEMU sprzija 6 puta racun i to uvjek na vijestima,na LIVU je drugacije i jos opasnije jer psiha ti govori pravi novac je u igri a volatilnost je toliko velika da nemas pojma gdje ce cijena.Vec sam i prije pisao o nelogicnosti kretanja cijena pa oprosti ako sam danas pretjerao,iduci tjedan ce bit zestoko bar mislim,ima vijesti i dogadaja na pretek jedva cekam mozda uz Trumpa bude trziste vise u pokretu.Puno pipova zelim svima L.P.

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    • Kao prvo, čestitiam na odličnim trejdovima. Naravno da nisi pretjerao, zašto? Jako mi je drago kad netko malo konkretnije komentira moje članke i kad se može razviti konkretna diskusija oko nečega. No, ljudi/trejderi preteženo dolaze ovdje kako bi našli holly grail od mene i na račun toga ušli u poziciju. Ok, radim i to, dajem preporuke vrlo često, direktno na chartovima ili kroz tekst na članku, ali sve rjeđe jer ne vidim smisao.
      Kad kažeš da si spržio 6 demo računa, dobro si prošao. Ja mogu reći da sam sprižio toliko i više real računa kroz moju fx karijeru, ali se nadam sam sve to trebao proći kako bi došao na neku veću razinu.
      Naravno da se tržište ponaša suprotno od očekivanja, pogotovo kad se svi uključe u igru, kao što je bio slučaj sa Grčkom, pa sa Brexitom, pa sada US izbori, brzo će FED i eventualno dizanje kamate, pa će vjerovatno ECB i dodatno pumpanje… Sve je to prilika da se uzme jako dobra zarada, jer je tržište izuzetno volatilno. No, za sve to treba biti pripremljen i dobro potkovan znanjem i iskustvom. Na takvim prilikama se kupi vrhnje, a sve ostalo između je sića. Ipak govorimo o tržištu koje pruža ekstra velike mogućnosti zarade, a ja ga tako i gledam. Da mi se štedi i da želim zaraditi 10% na fxu, nebi nikad pristupio istome.

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  • Ja sam napravio pauzu cijeli tjedan dobar savjet ,a smjesni su ovi analiticari dobro kazes sad kad se desila kontra svega sto su pricali sad je ovo u biti normalni tjek svega haha , sve te after the fact najave sve vise mislim da svi ti analiticari ubiti nisu sposobni trgovat

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